NFL Schedule Release 2021: Betting predictions, picks for every team’s win total over-under

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The NFL schedule has formally been launched, and sharp bettors are already seeking to make the most of early betting traces. That consists of season win total over/unders, that are enjoyable to choose for even informal followers seeking to put down just a bit motion.

Here’s BetQL’s preliminary tackle every team’s win total, retaining in thoughts that accidents and trades (ahem, Aaron Rodgers) may nonetheless shake up quite a lot of issues previous to the beginning of the  season. Also, it is necessary to recollect that there’s an additional sport this season, so issue that in if a total appears significantly excessive or low. 

NFL Schedule Release 2021: Betting picks, predictions for NFL group win totals

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook

Arizona Cardinals: Win total Over/Under: 8

Pick: UNDER (+110)

The Cardinals had a stable NFL Draft and introduced in J.J. Watt to bolster a protection with playmakers littered throughout the sector, however the offense goes to have to be extra in step with quarterback Kyler Murray and head coach Kliff Kingsbury in 2021. 

If I used to be extra assured in Kingsbury, this might be an OVER play on an extremely proficient group, however finally the NFC West is simply too tough to forecast. 

Atlanta Falcons: Win total O/U: 7.5

Pick: UNDER (+127)

Atlanta’s offense needs to be again to its outdated methods after choosing do-it-all tight finish Kyle Pitts at No. 4, however does the protection plan on getting any stops this coming season?

A win total of seven.5 is low, however the NFC South is up within the air and I don’t really feel comfy backing the Falcons to safe victories over the course of a season with this dangerous of a protection.

Baltimore Ravens: Win total O/U: 10.5

Pick: OVER (-155)

The Ravens are who they’re at this level. A tricky protection and a dynamic regular-season quarterback in Lamar Jackson ought to have this group going OVER 10.5 wins, as seen by the additional vig it’s important to pay to wager it. 

The Steelers are on account of regress in division, and Baltimore ought to be capable of decimate lesser competitors as soon as once more. 

Buffalo Bills: Win total O/U: 11

Pick: OVER (+115)

The AFC East needs to be higher in 2021. The Jets are enhancing, the Patriots made some good offseason strikes, and the Dolphins appear primed to take a step ahead. 

However, it is powerful to not go OVER this quantity. The Bills had probably the greatest offenses within the NFL in 2020, and Josh Allen is simply getting higher. With the twenty third most tough schedule in keeping with final yr’s document, the Bills could contend for one of the best document within the AFC. 

Carolina Panthers: Win total O/U: 7.5

Pick: OVER (+110)

You can learn extra about why I feel the Panthers are a darkish horse playoff group here

Chicago Bears: Win total O/U: 7.5

Pick: UNDER (-130)

There are two questions that have to be answered earlier than I become involved on this win total: When is Justin Fields beginning, and what’s occurring with Aaron Rodgers?

If Rodgers is out, that adjustments the complexion of the NFC North. If Fields is beginning early within the season, the Bears are going to be higher than anticipated, presumably preventing for .500. 

Cincinnati Bengals: Win total O/U: 6.5

Pick: OVER (+118)

This quantity is attention-grabbing, with plus-money on the OVER. Joe Burrow is anticipated to be prepared for Week 1, and the Bengals have completed a pleasant job constructing round him. If the 2020 No. 1 decide is wholesome, this group can are available third within the division. 

Cleveland Browns: Win total O/U: 10.5

Pick: OVER (+107) 

The Browns entrance workplace is urgent all the appropriate buttons. Another robust offseason has the group set to contend for the AFC crown. 

Baker Mayfield ought to proceed to progress in 2021, and the return of Odell Beckham Jr. can have the Browns offense firing on all cylinders round an improved protection. A document of 11-6 feels greater than attainable. 

Dallas Cowboys: Win total O/U: 9.5

Pick: UNDER (-130)

Mike McCarthy had a chaotic first season in Dallas. While Dak Prescott could also be prepared for 2021, will the protection enhance?

Dallas couldn’t cease a nostril bleed in 2020 regardless of a potent offense earlier than Prescott went down. McCarthy could discover himself out of a job rapidly with one other dangerous begin. The NFC East is huge open, however this total could also be too excessive.

Denver Broncos: Win total O/U: 8.5

Pick: OVER (-150)

This value is closely shaded towards the OVER — and rightfully so. 

The Broncos aren’t simply linked to Aaron Rodgers, however they’re additionally due for some luck. The complete protection was banged up in 2020 and couldn’t keep out of its personal method. Even with out Rodgers, the Broncos ought to be capable of recover from .500 with the quantity of expertise on the roster.

Detroit Lions: Win total O/U: 5

Pick: UNDER (+107)

It needs to be attention-grabbing watching the Lions try and chew kneecaps off on the sector. Don’t contact. 

Green Bay Packers: Win total O/U: Off the board

This value is off the board as we await Aaron Rodgers information.

Houston Texans: Win total O/U: 4.5

Pick: UNDER (-143)

It’s powerful to not go UNDER right here. The prevailing sentiment is that Watson is about for a prolonged suspension on account of pending lawsuits towards him, and there isn’t a lot expertise on the roster. Tyrod Taylor and Stanford rookie Davis Mills are the backups behind Watson.

Indianapolis Colts: Win total O/U: 10

Pick: UNDER (-139)

One of the best schedules within the league is the one factor stopping me from going underneath this value. While I’m bullish on Michael Pittman Jr. in his second season, that’s sort of it within the passing sport with T.Y. Hilton over the hill.

We’ll see if Frank Reich can revitalize Carson Wentz’s profession, however I’m skeptical.

Jacksonville Jaguars: Win total O/U: 6.5

Pick: OVER (+110)

I used to be skeptical of Urban Meyer turning into an NFL coach, and he hasn’t modified my ideas within the offseason. His supporting forged of coordinators are regarding, and he introduced Tim Tebow again into our lives. 

However, there may be some expertise on the roster, and the division goes to be simpler than years previous. The OVER could also be value a glance with Trevor Lawrence taking on.

Kansas City Chiefs: Win total O/U: 12.5

Pick: OVER (-123)

The division goes to be tougher with the Chargers and Broncos enhancing — and the Chiefs schedule is the Eleventh-most tough within the league — however getting plus-money on Patrick Mahomes to go OVER his win total is engaging.

While there may very well be some common fatigue on the roster, the Chiefs are a regular-season group’s dream with Mahomes capacity to create performs throughout. 

Las Vegas Raiders: Win total O/U: 7

Pick: UNDER (-110) 

Vegas has an analogous forged of characters as final season’s 8-8 group. The win total highlights a top-10 tough schedule, in addition to a more durable division. I’d keep away. 

Los Angeles Chargers: Win total O/U: 9

Pick: OVER (-110)

A classy decide to take a tangible leap in 2021, the Chargers have had a incredible offseason. 

The group introduced in Brandon Staley from the Rams as head coach, chosen offensive lineman Rayshawn Slater within the first spherical to glowing opinions, and has some of the promising younger quarterbacks in Justin Herbert available. A document of 10-7 appears greater than doable for LA in 2021.

Los Angeles Rams: Win total O/U: 10.5

Pick: UNDER (-121)

The Rams acquired Matthew Stafford, who will probably be becoming a member of probably the most proficient group he has ever been on. Coach Sean McVay feels extra comfy with the previous Lions starter than Jared Goff, and Stafford will probably be tasked with navigating the aggressive NFC West. 

LA has a tough schedule, tenth hardest within the NFL, and may be due for some harm regression after a lot of the protection performed all 16 video games final season. Tread fastidiously.

Miami Dolphins: Win total O/U: 9

Pick: OVER (-150)

The Dolphins have been knocking on the door of the postseason in 2020, however they need to be capable of break by means of in 2021 with Tua Tagovailoa given the keys to the franchise. 

The group acquired a number of weapons to throw to in Will Fuller and Tagovailoa’s former Alabama teammate Jaylen Waddle to make the group much less reliant on a stingy protection. The value is shaded to the OVER for a purpose, however Miami is about to contend in 2021. 

Minnesota Vikings: Win total O/U: 8.5

Pick: OVER (-139)

The Vikings are a pleasant bounce-back candidate. A group that was crushed by harm early on by no means actually discovered its footing till it was too late within the season. 

Dalvin Cook is a star at operating again, and Kirk Cousins remains to be a serviceable quarterback. With query marks surrounding the Packers, Minnesota would possibly take again the division crown.

New England Patriots: Win total O/U: 9

Pick: OVER (-121) 

Cam Newton is probably going going to begin the season because the first-team quarterback, however it will likely be attention-grabbing to see if or when Mac Jones turns into extra concerned. 

The Patriots spent a ton of cash within the offseason, and it’s unclear if Newton remains to be match to be a beginning QB. 

New Orleans Saints: Win total O/U: 9

Pick: OVER (+103)

Nobody is aware of for certain if Jameis Winston or Taysom Hill would be the beginning quarterback, however the Saints are set to take a step again in 2021. 

A bloated cap sheet and roster turnover could depart the Saints susceptible to a critical fall off. The solely factor retaining me from firing on this UNDER is that the group has a bottom-10 schedule by way of issue. 

New York Giants: Win total O/U: 7

Pick: OVER (-130)

The Giants have given Daniel Jones all of the weapons essential to succeed, now will he? That would be the massive query in New York after placing collectively a heroic defensive effort in 2020 to masks an anemic offense. 

If Jones can keep on the sector and keep away from turning the ball over, New York has probably the most expertise within the NFC East.

New York Jets: Win total O/U: 6.5

Pick: OVER (+127) 

The Jets had an superior offseason that included discovering a robust head teaching candidate in Robert Saleh and a brand new offensive coordinator in Mike LaFleur. 

With No. 2 total decide Zach Wilson set to bridge a brand new period of Jets soccer, the group would possibly shock some folks. I’m bullish on the OVER, and wrote about it here

Philadelphia Eagles: Win total O/U: 6.5

Pick: UNDER (+127)

Jalen Hurts was a blended bag in a small pattern as quarterback for the Eagles in 2020, so the jury remains to be out on him. While the group drafted former Alabama receiver DeVonta Smith, this roster remains to be removed from their Super Bowl-winning self. 

The NFC East is up for grabs, so possibly the Eagle shock, however this may go south in a short time for Philly — that’s an costly over to wager. 

Pittsburgh Steelers: Win total O/U: 8.5

Pick: UNDER (-110)

I wrote about why I’m promoting the Steelers in 2021 here, however drafting a operating again within the first spherical is the icing on the cake.

San Francisco 49ers: Win total O/U: 10.5

Pick: OVER (+107)

The Niners needs to be far more aggressive in 2021. Whether it’s Jimmy Garoppolo or Trey Lance, San Francisco’s protection needs to be again to their Super Bowl type with higher well being. 

The NFC West goes to be a gauntlet, however this group goes to be harmful this coming season.

Seattle Seahawks: Win total O/U: 9.5

Pick: UNDER (+110)

Will Pete Carroll let Russ prepare dinner? 

Reports of Wilson’s points with the Seahawks have dissipated over time, however this can be a powerful NFC West. I’m staying away from this win total.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Win total O/U: 11.5

Pick: OVER (-134)

The defending Super Bowl Champions discovered their type in January and proceeded to convey again the entire group. 

The NFC South goes by means of some radical adjustments, however the Bucs ought to dominate. Not to say, they’ve the fourth-easiest schedule within the NFL. 

Tennessee Titans: Win total O/U: 9

Pick: OVER (-110)

The Titans misplaced some contributors on each side of the ball, however the AFC South is up for grabs as soon as once more.

How will the group reply to shedding offensive coordinator Arthur Smith?

Washington Football Team: Win total O/U: 8

Pick: OVER (-130)

The Football Team had a stable draft and introduced in veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick to assist assist one of many strongest defenses within the league. 

In a large open NFC East, why can’t Washington make it back-to-back titles?

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