market outlook: Will rising Covid cases turn market more skittish next week?


MUMBAI: Domestic fairness market is prone to stay rangebound next week as buyers are unwilling to take bullish positions at a time when the pandemic is raging and making them second-guess their rosy outlook for the economic system and earnings development.

The authorities’s repeated insistence on not imposing a nationwide lockdown regardless of the nation reporting over 200,000 new cases on Friday has saved buyers from panicking and thereby, restricted the draw back within the inventory market.

Yet the surge in cases and localized lockdowns throughout the nation has fogged buyers’ capacity to forecast earnings development and financial exercise too far sooner or later. Brokerages have already began to downgrade India’s development forecast for 2021-22, despite the fact that there may be restricted readability on how lengthy the second wave will drag on.

Similarly, analysts have additionally began to trim earnings expectations in sectors akin to vehicles, banks, journey and tourism, and few others because the second wave is prone to hit the restoration in these sectors the toughest.

The nerves amongst market individuals was evident in the present day because the market gave up almost 1 per cent good points by the tip of the session to barely shut within the inexperienced. Traders had been unwilling to danger holding lengthy positions given the chance that more states may announce restrictions over the weekend.

For the week, the Nifty50 index and BSE Sensex index ended 2 per cent decrease, respectively. In the futures and choices phase, merchants had been indecisive over the course of the market as they offered each the out-of-money Call and Put choices.

The acceleration in earnings bulletins from next week may also maintain buyers on the sidelines as they may await administration commentary on the influence of the lockdowns to type expectations for the close to time period.

HDFC Bank,

, ICICI Bank, HCL Technologies, and Bajaj Consumer are among the many outstanding corporations that can report their March quarter numbers next week.

Over the long-term, the restoration within the world economic system and expectations of one other 12 months of regular monsoons will enthuse buyers that the medium-term outlook for earnings development stays sanguine.

“Only some marginal deterioration is happening (in the outlook) and one has to be a little careful. But at the same time, one has to stay invested and stay positive from a medium-term point of view,” Ravi Dharamshi, founder and managing director at ValueQuest Investment Advisors advised ETNow.