Ethiopia risks lengthy stalemate in war-hit Tigray: Report


The battle in Ethiopia’s northern Tigray area risks dragging on for months and even years, with each side eyeing a navy “knockout blow” that seems unrealistic, the International Crisis Group (ICG) mentioned Friday.

Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed despatched troops into Tigray in November to detain and disarm leaders of the once-dominant regional ruling celebration, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF).

He mentioned the transfer got here in response to TPLF-orchestrated assaults on federal military camps.

Abiy declared victory inside weeks, however fight has continued just lately in central and southern Tigray, conflict-prevention group ICG mentioned in a briefing printed almost 5 months after the primary pictures have been fired.

The variety of fighters loyal to the TPLF is probably going swelling due to rising fury over atrocities, it mentioned.

Even although Ethiopia’s navy has backing from Eritrea and Ethiopia’s Amhara area, which borders Tigray to the south, most TPLF leaders stay on the run and ICG famous that none have been reported captured or killed in February or March.

Pro-TPLF fighters have regrouped underneath the Tigray Defence Forces, an armed motion “led by the removed Tigrayan leaders and commanded by former high-ranking” navy officers, ICG mentioned.

The resistance is “entrenched” and enjoys widespread help from Tigrayans indignant over mass killings and rapes, together with these dedicated by troopers from Eritrea, the TPLF’s bitter enemy, ICG mentioned.

Amid mounting worldwide strain, Abiy mentioned every week in the past that Eritrean troops would pull out of Tigray.

But the area’s interim chief Mulu Nega instructed AFP this week that withdrawal was “a process” and wouldn’t occur instantly.

Mulu, who was appointed by Abiy, has beforehand acknowledged that the Tigrayan inhabitants has “mixed feelings” about his administration’s presence in the area.

He and different officers, although, have mentioned assumptions that the TPLF enjoys widespread widespread help are misguided and have downplayed its potential to mount an efficient insurgency.

ICG mentioned in its briefing that peace talks appear unlikely in the rapid time period, however known as on the US, the EU and the African Union to push for a cessation of hostilities and expanded humanitarian entry.




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